Hint Analytics
Behavioral data for systematic investors

Markets price the words. We measure everything else.

Hint Analytics measures how public-company executives communicate. Face, voice and language are scored answer by answer, compared with each executive's own history, and delivered point-in-time.

Live decomposition Synthetic subject · illustrative
AU04 brow0.00
AU12 lip corner0.00
F0 pitch0 Hz
Composite0.0σ
17,345
Executive interviews and appearances in the research archive
515
Chief executives, each linked to the role they held on the day they spoke
3
Channels, face, voice and language, aligned to the same question and answer
0
Days of look-ahead. Every value is stamped to when it became public
Thesis

Every desk now parses transcripts. Tone, sentiment and keyword counts are a crowded trade. The face is not. Executives rehearse their words. They rarely rehearse their expressions.

Language models turned the text of an earnings call into a commodity, and voice analytics followed. The visual channel has been left alone because it is hard. Video has to be sourced, the right person found in frame, and every expression tied to the exact moment and question it answers.

That work is what we do. The result is a view of executive behavior that cannot be rebuilt from a transcript, measured against the one baseline that matters: how the same person behaved before.

Look, I think margins… we'd expect them to be broadly in line, probably. One answer, taken apart.

Fig. 1
Synthetic data

An answer to an analyst question about margins. The hedged phrases line up with brow tension, a lift in pitch and longer pauses. Against this executive's own baseline, the composite moves well outside its normal range.

How a signal is made. Five steps, no shortcuts.

01

Source and identify

Interviews and public appearances, matched to the executive in role on that date. Departed and returning CEOs stay in the record, so history is free of survivorship.

Point-in-time
02

Segment the conversation

Each appearance is split into questions and answers. Small talk is separated from material topics, so scores sit on the moments investors care about.

Answer-level
03

Measure three channels

Facial action units frame by frame. Pitch, pacing and pauses from the audio. Tone, forward-looking content and evasiveness from the words.

Face · Voice · Text
04

Baseline against the person

Some executives are always animated and some never are. Every score is measured against the same person's earlier appearances, adjusted for setting, and shrunk where history is thin.

Within-person
05

Deliver to research

Datasets keyed by security identifiers and release timestamps, ready to join to the returns, options and fundamentals already in your stack.

Parquet · CSV
Applications

Built for teams who test everything before they trust it.

Event research

Earnings drift

Executive behavior in the weeks before results and the days after, studied against factor-adjusted returns.

Derivatives

Realized against implied

Whether how a CEO speaks says something about volatility that option prices have not yet reflected.

Governance

Leadership change

A record of how communication shifts across a tenure, through transitions, and from one setting to the next.

Fundamental

Analyst workflow

Answer-level flags that take an analyst straight to the forty seconds of an interview worth watching twice.

Request the sample.

Research partners

We work with a small number of funds. Coverage files, a data dictionary and a point-in-time sample are available under NDA.